Bird’s Eye View of the News
He gave two reasons for his revolt: 1) He accused the Russian army of killing his men in a missile strike on a Wagner rear camp; 2) He affirmed that the pretext given by Russia to invade Ukraine was false, that is, there was no Ukrainian plan to harm Russia, as Putin has alleged to justify his invasion on February 20, 2022.
The Wagner Division's route to Moscow, which was suspended by a truce
The march to Moscow – about 280 miles from Rostov – was suspended due to the intervention of Alexander Lukashensko – the eternally re-elected President of Belarus and Putin’s very faithful ally – who made the offer to exile Prigozhin in Belarus and to transfer the Wagner Division there. Actually, no one really knows the terms of the mentioned truce.
On June 28, two days ago, Putin delivered another brief speech announcing that the heavy weaponry division of the Wagner Group is being transferred to the Russian army and the charge of mutiny will be dropped due to the previous heroic deeds of the Wagner Group.
Meanwhile, Prigozhin remains silent in some unknown place.
In Ukraine the local army continues to retake small cities from the Russian army – the last news I read mentioned 9 cities retaken – and is directing its military efforts toward Crimea.
So far, these are the facts within my reach.
About these facts different interpretations are circulating.
The pro-Russian commentators spread that the entire coup d’État attempted by Prigozhin was fake and is part of a shrewd maneuver by Putin to increase his already great power.
A concerned Putin delivers a short speech to the nation on the Wagner Group mutiny
Let me discuss these interpretations to see if one is more likely to reflect the reality.
What does a powerful man who goes to war do? The answer is quite simple and direct: He wins the war.
Putin invaded Ukraine with the idea that it would be a quick war as it was in 2014, when his military expedition took over Crimea. This did not happen. The Russians have been in Ukraine for 16 months, quite a long time, and the progress of their army is slow, with lots of ups-and-downs. The present day Ukrainian counter-offensive has been difficult, but is recovering parts of its territories.
If nothing extraordinary occurs, this war could easily go on for another 16 months.
This is a panorama that does not permit anyone to conclude that Putin’s performance in this war is that of a successful and powerful man.
Further, if we look at the morale of his troops, I point to five symptoms:
- In the beginning of the war last year, many of the Russians taken prisoner declared in video-messages to their families that they did not know they were going to war. Their Russian commanders told them that they were going to military exercises. No knowledge of the war; no enthusiasm.
- When Putin ordered a conscription of 300,000 young civilians to enter the army, there was a surge of youth crossing the
Russian borders with Kazakhstan, Mongolia, Georgia, Finland and Hungary to flee that obligation. The flight was so considerable that the Russian government had to close their borders. This reveals a highly unpopular war.
- Today, some Russian prisoners who have surrendered to Ukrainian troops, like the one in this video, have declared that they do not want to return to their Russian units because they received threats of death should they lose their positions. This reveals that the soldiers are obliged to fight, or face death.
- This threat corresponds perfectly to Prigozhin’s claim that the Russian army was killing their own men, in this case, the Wagner Division men. If his affirmation is true, it reveals that the army is suffering purges, that is, there is no fidelity in the ranks.
- Finally, the rebellion of Prigozhin itself shows that the Russian troops are tired of Putin.
Prigozhin accuses the Russian army of killing his men
Cumulative layers of lies
When I write on this war, I am accustomed to receive a barrage of objections telling me that I am completely wrong because I am trusting the Establishment media and, consequently, I am carrying water to the mill of the globalist architects.
I believe that in my writings I have given sufficient proof that I am against the globalist agenda. But this does not make me believe that what the Russian sources are reporting is true. Regarding information, I shuffle through the successive layers of lies, from which I try to make sense of the reality. They are:
- The days of military honor have unfortunately disappeared. They belong to a bygone era. So, in modern war there is a phase of propaganda/counter-propaganda in which both sides lie about their operations. This procedure is so common it is even explained in military manuals.
- Communists habitually lie about their numbers, successes and operations by the simple fact that they do not have morals. For them the end always justifies the means. As a practical method of appraisal, I consider those who trust communist sources or make treatises with communists to be useful idiots.
- During the two years of the so-called pandemic the Western media revealed itself to be as unreliable as the communist sources of information.
The role of the Maestro
But, to have the full picture, I habitually ask myself what would be to the greatest interest of the Secret Forces’ Maestro. Yes, I work with the hypothesis that the action of the Revolution around the world is uniform and follows the same Conductor’s baton.
Does the Wagner Group mutiny represent the beginning of the end for Putin?
Now, if Putin is being defeated in Ukraine or loses the trust of his troops, the Maestro can no longer use him to fulfill the greatest interests of the Revolution. Putin may be tempted to start a nuclear war to save his prestige; in other words, he can fly out of control. In this case, he must be replaced by someone who can keep all possible doors open to the Maestro.
Will Prigozhin be this man, the next communist Russian ruler? It is a hypothesis that should not be completly excluded from the picture. Let us wait and see.