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NEWS: December 4, 2024
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Bird’s Eye View of the News
Peregrine

Atila Sinke Guimarães
MAKE RUSSIA GREAT AGAIN – The newly elected president of the United States Mr. Donald Trump has promised in his campaign to end the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours after his inauguration. In this intermediary period separating us from January 20, 2025, Trump indeed has dispatched General Keith Kelogg, the inspirer of this plan, to Ukraine with the threat: Either you Ukrainians accept our terms of delivering the invaded territories to Russia or the U.S. stops supplying Ukraine with armaments.

Trump is presenting this “peace proposal” as a great advantage for the U.S. and for the entire world that is losing so many lives and is worn out from so many wars.

Let us analyze calmly and in depth what this proposal really means.

I – From the Ukrainian perspective

After being a Soviet Republic for 69 years (1922-1991), Ukraine entered a period of transition moving from a communist authoritarian regime to democracy (1991-2004). This period was marked by two initial pro-Soviet presidents – Kravchuck (who had been the Head of the State when Ukraine was a Soviet Republic) and Kuchma; the latter convened an election rigged to give victory to the pro-Soviet candidate. In protest against that fraud, Ukraine had its Orange Revolution in 2004-2005. A run-off election gave the victory to the Viktor Yuschencko, who was pro-West and had a non-communist platform.

After Yuschencko, the pro-soviet candidate Yanuckowich was elected. He was followed by two pro-West candidates: Porochencko and Zelensky. It was under the government of Porochencko that Russia invaded Crimea in 2014; it was under Zelensky that Russia invaded the east of Ukraine in 2022.

Ukrainian troops

Russia was surprised by the valor of
Ukrainian troops on the battlefield

The West protested the takeover of Crimea, but did not engage in any military action. When it came to the second Russia aggression, however, the West – the U.S., NATO and several European countries – took the side of Ukraine, assisting it military and financially.

The Ukrainians are heroically fighting to recover these two parts of their territory. This reaction has the full support of public opinion. For example, there are groups of women – mothers, grandmothers, wives and daughters of deployed soldiers – who have formed paramilitary groups to shoot down drones that enter the skies of Ukraine. One of these groups is called the Witches of Butcha.

Now, Trump comes to tell them to give up their territory under the pretext of peace. The Ukrainians are asking: “What guarantee do we have that tomorrow Russia will not come to take another part of our country? Indeed, yesterday Russia took Crimea and the U.S. did not help them; today Russia takes the cities of Donestsk, Luhansk, Mariupol and Melitipol and the U.S. obliges us to stop fighting for them. What Trump is doing is giving the victory to Russia and compelling us to accept it without conditions.”

What was the crime of Ukraine to deserve such a punishment? It took the part of the West against the pro-soviet, pro-communist domination.

Is it not curious that the American capitalist winning candidate’s first concern is to give the victory to the pro-soviet, anti-West Russia? Does it not look like a betrayal?

II – From the Russian perspective

Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022 imagining that it would be a quick takeover, as it was in Crimea eight years before in 2014.

Russian dolls

Tucson Sentinel

In the first phase of the attack, Russia entered the larger cities, but in a very short time it had to retreat, pushed back by the strong reaction of the population reinforcing the military counter-attack. It retired to the eastern provinces, changing its tactic to bombarding from a distance the medium and smaller cities there until reducing them to skeletons, as they did in Mariupol. Then, the Russian troops would proceed to enter them.

After almost three years of war and being assailed with propaganda insisting that Russia is “making great progress,” the indisputable fact is that today it is stuck in the same parts it first invaded without making real military advances.

Instead, in August 2024, Ukrainian troops took over the city of Kursk inside the Russian territory and are stable there. Several waves of Russian troops that tried to recover the area were decimated by the Ukrainians. Newsweek Magazine reports that the Russian Army lost more 2,000 men in one day during one of these waves on November 28, and more than 41,000 only this last November.

According to a projection made by Newsweek the number of Russian casualties has reached more than 738,000 since the beginning of the war. We can imagine the number of wounded soldiers unable to return to the battlefront is also proportionally high.

Whether this estimate is true or not does not change the fact that Putin is running very short in men to replace those falling in the battlefield. We have seen that a compulsory conscription decreed by Putin was followed by an enormous exit of young men fleeing Russian territory, revealing the great unpopularity of this war in Russia.

This explains why Putin was obliged to resort to bring in men from Cuba, Nepal (15,000), North Korea (10,000) and now even Yemen.

If we look at the military supplies Russia is using, we see that most of the bombardments of cities have been made with North Korean missiles and Iranian drones. In other words, Russia is no longer able to supply its own weapons.

Trump Putin handshake

A handshake with multiple messages...

In short, Russia is giving many signs of exhaustion, which is tantamount to saying that it is at its most frail position since the beginning of the conflict. Ukraine now has its best chance to defeat it, if in fact the West would provide it more substantial military assistance and lift the restrictions on using the weapons it has supplied to Ukraine.

It is at this moment that Trump goes onstage demanding that Ukraine deliver the occupied territory to Russia in the name of “peace.”

It seems very likely that the new American President wants to save Russia from a shameful defeat in Ukraine, which would also mean the end of his good friend Putin.

So, the alleged “peacemaker” Trump in reality is demanding that Ukraine surrender in order to maintain the myth of a Great Russia, which needs to conquer other peoples to create a new Empire under its aegis: a recycled version of the Soviet Union…

Americans should make a little adjustment to the MAGA slogan: Make America Great Again. The actual motto of Trump’s international policy should be Make Russia Great Again.

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